According to the commodity market analysis system of the business community, the 1 # electrolytic manganese market was weak this week (from June 2 to June 9). The price of Spot market in East China was 16250 yuan/ton on June 9, down 0.31%.
In terms of manganese ore: This week, the manganese ore market experienced a volatile and weak trend, with some miners’ sentiment towards price easing. This was mainly due to the sluggish downstream silicon and manganese prices, weak market performance, and lower than expected steel bidding prices, resulting in low downstream purchasing enthusiasm and continuous downward pressure on the mine. Some miners’ mentality was affected by this, and there was a slight relaxation in manganese ore transactions; The Qinzhou Port manganese ore market has maintained stable operation, and the overall quotation is firm. The actual transaction situation is average, and it is in the stage of game between supply and demand. As of June 9, the price of Port of Tianjin has declined by 0.2-0.3 yuan/ton, the transaction of semi carbonic acid mainstream is around 31.2 yuan/ton, Australia is about 40 yuan/ton, Gabon’s price is below 38.5 yuan/ton, and the overall price performance is weak; The quotation for semi carbonic acid in Qinzhou Port is 30.5-31 yuan/ton, the price for high altitude Australian seeds is 37-37.5 yuan/ton, the price for Gabonese blocks is 37.5-38 yuan/ton, the price for Australian blocks is 40-40.5 yuan/ton, and the transaction price for South African high-speed rail is 31.5 yuan/ton.
The K-bar chart of commodity prices uses the concept of a price trend K-line to reflect weekly or monthly price fluctuations in the form of a bar chart. Investors can buy and sell investments based on the changes in the K-bar chart. Red indicates an increase; Green indicates a decline; The height of the K-bar represents the range of fluctuations. From the weekly and monthly electrolytic manganese K-bar chart above, it can be seen that since December 2022, prices have been declining for 5 consecutive months, temporarily stabilizing for 4 consecutive weeks, and then slightly rising before falling again.
The electrolytic manganese market is operating weakly this week, with mainstream market prices ranging from 14700 to 14800 yuan/ton, a decrease of 100 yuan/ton compared to last week. At the beginning of this week, the overall market performance was weak, and the market continued its previous trend, with prices temporarily stabilizing. During the weekend, there were rumors in the market that large factories would start construction, and the expected supply in the future was relatively loose, driving market sentiment downward. The game mentality between the supply and demand sides is strong, and the market has a strong wait-and-see atmosphere. The FOB price is between $2070 and $2120 per ton, a decrease of $50 per ton compared to last week. Overall, the business community expects that downstream demand as a whole will remain weak and difficult to improve in the short term. Market rumors suggest that supply may be loose in the future, dragging down market sentiment. It is expected that the future market will be dominated by stable, moderate, and weak operation, and we will wait for more guidance on steel bidding prices in the future.
This week, the silicon manganese Spot market is weak and downward, the price of steel bidding inquiry is low, the profit difference of manufacturers is large, and the market mentality is general. According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of the Business Society, the market quotation for silicon manganese in Ningxia region (specification FeMN68Si18) was around 6450-6650 yuan/ton on June 9th, with an average market price of 6593 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.35% compared to the beginning of the week.
Related data:
According to customs data, the total export volume of unwrought manganese, manganese waste and powder (electrolytic manganese) in April 2023 was approximately 20600.3 tons, a decrease of 38.42% compared to the previous month; In April 2023, the total import volume of unwrought manganese, manganese waste and powder (electrolytic manganese) was approximately 4700.006 tons, a decrease of 14.55% compared to the previous month.
On June 11th, the base metal index stood at 1179 points, unchanged from yesterday, a decrease of 27.04% from the cycle’s highest point of 1616 points (2022-03-09), and an increase of 83.64% from the lowest point of 642 points on November 24th, 2015. (Note: The cycle refers to the period from December 1st, 2011 to the present).
According to the price monitoring of the Business Society, there were a total of 15 commodities in the non-ferrous sector on the list of commodity prices rising and falling in the 23rd week of 2023 (6.5-6.9), with zinc (3.59%), tin (3.50%), and silver (3.38%) ranking among the top three commodities on the list. There are four products that have decreased compared to the previous month, with magnesium (-1.49%), antimony (-0.61%), and metallic silicon (-0.56%) ranking among the top three products. This week’s average increase or decrease was 0.9%.