According to the monitoring data of business society, the price trend of domestic fluorite rose in 2021. The average price at the beginning of the year was 2718.89 yuan / ton, and the average price of domestic fluorite at the end of the year was 2855.56 yuan / ton, an increase of 503% for the whole year. It can be clearly seen from the fluorite price trend chart that the highest price of fluorite in 2020 appears in the middle of December, the highest price is 2877.78 yuan / ton, the lowest price of fluorite appears on July 30, and the lowest price is 2611.11 yuan / ton. The price of fluorite fluctuates little throughout the year, and the overall trend rises.

As can be seen from the k-column chart of monthly fluorite price in 2021, the market price of fluorite in the whole year has increased more and decreased less. The price trend of fluorite in the whole year is roughly divided into three stages. The first stage is from the beginning of the year to mid March, and the domestic fluorite market price has increased slightly; In the second stage, from late March to the end of July, the domestic fluorite price fell sharply; The third stage is from August to the end of the year. The price trend of fluorite continues to rise. The specific trend is as follows:

In the first stage, from the beginning of 2021 to the middle of March, the domestic fluorite market price increased slightly, the price at the beginning of the year was 2718.89 yuan / ton, and the price in the middle of March was 2766.67 yuan / ton, with a price trend of 1.76%. The main impacts are as follows: on the one hand, in terms of supply, due to the impact of the Spring Festival holiday, there are many parking of domestic fluorite devices during the period, the supply of fluorite in the yard is relatively tight, and the price trend of fluorite rises slightly; On the other hand, in terms of demand, the delivery situation of domestic hydrofluoric acid manufacturers has improved, the hydrofluoric acid market price has increased, the domestic hydrofluoric acid market price has increased by 11.34%, the downstream hydrofluoric acid market price has increased sharply, and the fluorite market is supported by favorable conditions, and the price has decreased a little. Finally, the market situation of the downstream refrigerant of the terminal is good. Recently, the transaction of the downstream refrigerant market of the terminal has improved. In addition, the automobile sales market is good, the domestic R22 supply is normal, and the domestic refrigerant R22 market price has increased. However, the operating load of the manufacturer’s production units is still not high, the supply of goods in the market is general, the downstream air conditioning manufacturers stop more, and the demand changes little, The mainstream price of large domestic enterprises is 14000-16000 yuan / ton. Domestic R134a manufacturers operate with reduced load, and the supply decline makes the price rise. In addition, the downstream enterprises are gradually started, and the demand is expected to increase, but the traders have a strong wait-and-see mood. At present, the market quotation of refrigerant R134a is mostly in the range of 19000-22000 yuan / ton. The downstream refrigerant market has improved, which is good for the fluorite price. At this stage, the fluorite price trend is rising.

In the second stage, from late March to the end of July, the price trend of domestic fluorite fell. The price of domestic fluorite decreased from 2766.67 yuan / ton to 2611.11 yuan / ton, a decrease of 5.62%. The price trend of domestic fluorite has declined. On the one hand, the operating rate of domestic fluorite units has been rising recently, the on-site mines and flotation units have gradually resumed work, and the on-site fluorite supply has increased. Due to the sufficient supply of on-site goods, the fluorite price has continued to decline, and the price trend of downstream hydrofluoric acid has declined. For the on-demand procurement of fluorite market, the on-site delivery of fluorite is poor, Fluorite market prices fell. The recent operation of downstream units is general, the spot supply of fluorite in the field is sufficient, and the downstream procurement of the terminal is not active, resulting in the decline of market price trend. On the other hand, the recent sales in the automotive industry have been average, the market situation of refrigerant downstream of the terminal has not improved, and the demand for refrigerant has been declining. At present, the load of refrigerant R22 manufacturers is not high, the inventory is within a reasonable range, and the market price remains low. However, the downstream receiving capacity is limited, there is a lot of wait-and-see mood, and the shipment of cargo holders is not smooth, The mainstream of on-site negotiation is at the level of 15500-17000 yuan / ton. There are many parking lots for downstream air conditioning manufacturers, and the demand changes little. In addition, affected by the global epidemic, the export of refrigerant industry is poor, the transaction focus moves down, the market is weak, the demand for downstream refrigerant does not improve, and the price trend of fluorite market declines.

The third stage is from August to the end of the year, and the price of fluorite rose sharply. At the beginning of this stage, the domestic refrigerant industry rose sharply. Supported by the favorable downstream market, the fluorite price rose. Then, with the cold weather, the fluorite supply in the field declined, resulting in the high fluorite price. At the end of the year, the fluorite price was 2855.56 yuan / ton, and the increase in the third stage was 9.36%. In the third quarter, the domestic refrigerant market soared, and the on-site operating rate is still not high, but the new energy vehicle industry has hot sales and increased demand. Overall, the refrigerant market is dominated by favorable factors, and the price trend of hydrofluoric acid and chloroform is rising, which increases the cost of the refrigerant industry. The price of refrigerant R22 rose sharply, with an increase of 59%, and the market focus shifted significantly. The quotation of R22 at the end of the month was about 26000-28000 yuan / ton. The domestic R134a price soared by more than 78%. During this period, it exceeded the threshold of 50000 yuan, and some enterprises closed their plates and stopped reporting to see the market reflection. At the same time, due to power restriction in some places, the operating rate of refrigerant manufacturers further declined, and the supply side helped R13 prices soar. The merchants in the field were unwilling to sell at a low price. The downstream refrigerant industry was good, and the fluorite price in the field rose. With the decrease of temperature, domestic fluorite manufacturers gradually shut down their units, and the operation of mines and flotation in the yard declined, which supported the fluorite price to a certain extent. In addition, the refrigerant export is still subject to certain restrictions, and the overseas economic recovery is slow, which has cooled the domestic refrigerant industry. However, due to the tight supply of goods in the fluorite field, the market price remains high, and the domestic fluorite price mainly remained high from November to December.

Overall, the price trend of fluorite market will rise in 2021, and the price trend of various products in the fluorine chemical industry will increase differently. The price trend of hydrofluoric acid Market downstream of fluorite in 2021 is as follows:

It can be clearly seen from the correlation trend chart of fluorite and hydrofluoric acid that the two trends are highly correlated. In 2021, the market prices of fluorite and hydrofluoric acid increased to varying degrees, the domestic refrigerant industry improved, and the market of fluorochemical raw materials increased.

It can be clearly seen from the industrial chain trend chart that the price of fluorite industrial chain has increased in 2021, and the market of fluorine chemical industry has improved. However, on the whole, the price of fluorite fluctuates little, with an annual increase of 5.03%.

Chen Ling, a fluorite analyst at business society, believes that the price of fluorite will rise in 2021. From the perspective of fluorite market supply, domestic environmental protection will not be reduced, and some domestic fluorite manufacturers will still be unable to operate normally. The supply of domestic fluorite market will be limited, so the price of fluorite will be supported to some extent. However, with the increase of fluorite import, the price of imported fluorite is low, It will continue to impact the domestic fluorite market price, and the amplitude of domestic fluorite price will be limited to a certain extent. Therefore, considering the whole year of 2022, the maximum price of fluorite in the market will not exceed 3100 yuan / ton. Affected by the strengthening of domestic environmental protection, the minimum price of fluorite will also remain above 2500 yuan / ton in 2022.