In 2021, the dichloromethane market rose slowly in the early stage and fluctuated sharply in the later stage. According to the monitoring of business agency, the outbound price of dichloromethane bulk water in Shandong was 3500 yuan / ton at the beginning of the year and 5972 yuan / ton at the end of the year, an increase of 70.64% over the beginning of the year; The low point of the year was 2720 yuan / ton on February 2, and the high point of the year was 8587 yuan / ton on October 16, with an amplitude of 215.72%.

The dichloromethane market fell slightly in January. Near the Spring Festival, the downstream construction started lower, the demand was weak, and the enterprises had a strong willingness to go to the warehouse. Under the supply-demand game, the market price fell.

After the Spring Festival from February to March, the start-up of downstream refrigerants, medicine, diluents and adhesives gradually increased, and the demand was driven strongly; In addition, some enterprises stop and reduce the load before and after the Spring Festival, and the supply side is tight; The price of raw methanol rose and the cost side formed support. The price of dichloromethane rose from 2720 yuan / ton in early January to 3930 yuan / ton on March 20, an increase of 44.49%.

From April to August, Guangxi Jinyi, Fuqiang and other methane chloride units were put into operation successively, and the pressure on the supply side increased to suppress the rising trend of dichloromethane; However, on the one hand, the downstream just needs support, coupled with the gradual rise of raw material prices, which brings upward pressure to the dichloromethane market; Dichloromethane rose in the market shock under comprehensive factors. According to the monitoring of business agency, the price of dichloromethane was 3930 yuan / ton on March 20 and 4055 yuan / ton on September 10, an increase of 3.18%; During the period, the high point was 4263 yuan / ton on May 17 and the low point was 3460 yuan / ton on April 22, up 23.22%.

The domestic policy of “dual control of energy consumption” was launched in September and the global energy crisis began in October. In the early stage, the domestic enterprises concentrated on reducing the burden of methane chloride units in the early stage, the industrial operating rate was as low as 4-50%, and the market supply was tight; Later, it encountered market speculation caused by the accidental parking of an enterprise, and the price of dichloromethane formed a “double peak” form in the second half of the year in September and October. After October, with the increase of the start-up of domestic methane chloride units, the price of dichloromethane gradually fell, but the overall supply is still tight, driving the price of dichloromethane to fluctuate at the high level in November and December.

In 2021, the domestic methane chloride plant will be started.

According to the business agency, the start-up of domestic methane chloride units in 2021 was slightly lower at the beginning of the year, higher in the middle of the year, reached the low point of the year in September and October, and rebounded at the end of the year. It is reflected from the side that the supply side of dichloromethane is under great pressure from the end of the first quarter to the beginning of the third quarter. The supply is tight in September and October, and the cost side affects the pattern of low before high in the market price of dichloromethane.

In 2021, affected by the cost side, the price of methanol rose and fell back. According to the monitoring of the business community, the price of methanol at the beginning of the year was 2310 yuan / ton, and the price at the end of the year was 2375 yuan / ton, an increase of 2.81% over the beginning of the year; During the year, the low point was 2240 yuan / ton and the high point was 4480 yuan / ton, with an amplitude of 100%. The cost side has strong support for dichloromethane in the early stage and weak at the end of the year.

Future forecast: Analysts of methane chloride data of business society believe that on the basis of the significant easing of the shortage of power coal, there is little probability that the raw material methanol will rise sharply again in 2022, and the driving force of cost side will become weaker; No new unit will be put into operation in 2022. It is expected that the market of dichloromethane in the later stage will be mainly affected by downstream demand and unit maintenance. It is expected that the price of dichloromethane will fluctuate in 2022.