From the year 2016, PMI index steadily rose slightly, the first quarter is slightly lower than the 50%, the two or three quarter rose to more than 50%, the fourth quarter rebounded faster, rose to more than 51%, the annual average of 50.3%, 0.4 percentage points higher than in 2015, showed the positive factors in the economy increased, stabilize the situation gradually consolidate the good development trend is more obvious.

The effect of structure adjustment in 2016 was. The equipment manufacturing industry and high-tech industry PMI index by quarter rose steadily; high energy consuming industries in the first three quarters of PMI less than 50%, slightly higher than the fourth quarter of 50%. Consumer goods industry PMI trend is relatively stable, maintained at more than 51%.

The recent part of the circulation of important production material price and logistics costs continue to rise, bring some influence to the production and operation of enterprises. Production prices continued to rise to reflect changes in supply and demand, the economy pick up, accelerate the promotion of industrial production, promote the enterprise sales revenue, profits gradually improved.

But rising too fast may affect the capacity to process, do not rule out a large number of low efficiency of production may be re started. The rising industry prices will transfer to the consumer side, the cost of living rising residents. The price is expected to rise too strong, will cause excessive speculation, is not conducive to the smooth operation of the market. In 2017 to further consolidate the economic stabilization based on the one hand, on the other hand to seize the supply side structural reform of the main line, speeding up the supply side structural reform, improve the vitality of the micro economy, improving the quality and efficiency of economic development.

The price is always the most sensitive nerve of the market. In 2016, the domestic PC market showing upward trend shock, the annual increase of up to 36.36% year high in December, the reference of East China in the low-end mainstream injection level negotiations in 21200-22500 yuan / ton. This year, the world economic recovery is weak and the domestic economy is facing downward pressure of the environment, China has adhered to the supply side structural reform, domestic PC new capacity put into operation, the RMB exchange rate devaluation and other factors, to varying degrees of impact on the overall supply pattern of the domestic PC market, PC market competition situation, the market offer turbulence.

The first stage (1-2 months): Spring Festival stocking market low stronger shocks

1-2 months in 2016 low prices, East China in the low-end mainstream reference injection level talks in 16300-16600 yuan / ton, but compared to the fourth quarter of 2015, in a narrow range of pull up after the strong side shocks. Before the holiday, crude oil is low, the weak domestic economy have put pressure on the domestic market, trading trading weak, downstream manufacturers Spring Festival stocking enthusiasm is not high, many small Jiancang, but due to the devaluation of the RMB exchange rate, domestic and foreign PC production enterprises very price, give the market some support, in the high-end price and cost Huojin support, trader follow the narrow tilt, caution light.

Overall, the overall economic level weak situation based on the domestic market of PC Spring Festival stocking enthusiasm of the poor, the Spring Festival holiday before February, the downstream plant basically ready, manufacturers have a holiday from the city, the market demand dropped, basically there is no market price in the market, but the industry for the market outlook is expected to improve, traders reluctant to sell low-cost, newspaper how to maintain the high finishing concussion disc. The vacation of downstream work slow, once restricted market trading, but considering the spot supply, coupled with the late part of the device storage maintenance plan, positive support the market mentality, industry market outlook is expected to increase upward, offer holding firm, cautious trading.