Price trend:

According to the bulk list data of business society, the domestic ABS market fell after rising in June, and the spot prices of various brands generally fell. As of June 30, the average price of general-purpose ABS mainstream offer was about 13150 yuan / ton, up or down -1.5% compared with the price level at the beginning of the month.

Factor analysis:

Industrial chain: in terms of raw material styrene, the market price of styrene rose first and then fell in June. The international crude oil price callback, styrene port increment is limited, and the overall inventory situation is relatively ideal. At present, the output of domestic styrene plants is at a relatively low level, lower than that of the same period last year. However, in July, some maintenance devices will restart, and the port inventory has been declining. The overall inventory of styrene is relatively ideal, and the price continues to be high.

The price of acrylonitrile still fell this month. The overhaul of some enterprises was completed in June, and domestic enterprises started high. The pressure on acrylonitrile supply remained. Demand tends to be lagging and weak, and there is a contradiction between supply and demand in the market. In the second half of the month, there were individual maintenance production lines, and the decline narrowed. However, on the whole, it is difficult to change the contradiction between supply and demand in the short term, and it is expected that the price of acrylonitrile will continue to fluctuate at a low level in the later period.

In June, the domestic butadiene market also rose first and then fell. Affected by the downstream profits and poor operation, the demand side of butadiene market is difficult to have a positive boost. At the same time, with the export of some goods from northeast and East China, the market supply increment dragged down the market. Butadiene analysts of business agency predict that the domestic butadiene market may still fall further in the short term.

In June, the upstream three material trends of ABS cost side were poor. In addition, affected by the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike, the crude oil price fluctuated, which was bad for the oil and chemical industry chain, and the overall cost support of ABS weakened. In terms of industry load, the operating rate of ABS enterprises has limited changes this month, which is generally at a high level and has limited support for the supply side. At the beginning of the month, the health incident in East China eased, and the industry mentality was strengthened, which stimulated the spot offer to rise. However, in the second half of the month, the off-season market of the industry gradually expanded, and the on-site demand contracted. Merchants give up profits and lower the focus of ABS offer. At present, the main bad news in the market is the contraction of downstream demand in the off-season.

Future forecast:

Business analysts believe that the ABS spot market fell after rising in June, and the overall trend of the three upstream materials was poor, weakening the cost side support of ABS. Domestic spot supply is abundant, and demand follow-up is poor. It is expected that the ABS spot market may fall in a narrow range in the short term.

1、 Price trend

According to the bulk list data of business agency, the average market price of domestic caprolactam liquid was 14800 yuan / ton on June 1, and 13800 yuan / ton on June 30. The domestic caprolactam price fell 6.76% this month.

2、 Market analysis

Domestic caprolactam prices fell this month. In the first half of June, the caprolactam market rose after stable consolidation. The price of raw material pure benzene continues to rise, the cost side of caprolactam is well supported, and the quotation of enterprises is increased. Most manufacturers shut down their units for maintenance, and the supply of caprolactam is reduced. Some enterprises mainly produce and use caprolactam for their own use. In the second half of June, the price of caprolactam fell rapidly. The price of raw material pure benzene continued to decline, and the cost side of caprolactam weakened. Some manufacturers’ devices were shut down for maintenance, and the supply of caprolactam was tight. The downstream PA6 device has reduced the load, the procurement has decreased, and the on-site trading volume is relatively small. As of June 30, the price of Sinopec caprolactam liquid was 15400 yuan / ton. Baling Hengyi caprolactam liquid price is 15400 yuan / ton, 300000 tons / year, the unit is normally started up, and the acceptance is self picked up. The price of Baling Petrochemical caprolactam liquid is 15400 yuan / ton, and 450000 tons / year. The unit is normally started up, and the acceptance is self picked up. Shandong Hualu Hengsheng caprolactam apron price is 14300 yuan / ton, and the manufacturer’s device capacity is 300000 tons / year. It is accepted and sent to East China.

Pure benzene, the raw material, rose rapidly this month and fell in shock. Due to the continuous rise of crude oil in the early stage, the price of pure benzene in the outer disk rose, the import of pure benzene decreased, the ports continued to destock, and the minimum inventory in East China ports fell to 48000 tons. The high pressure in the lower reaches, coupled with demand support, stimulated the continuous rise of pure benzene to exceed 10000 yuan. In the later stage, with the decline of crude oil and the external market, the superposition of downstream losses expanded, some units were economically reduced and shut down, the demand fell, and the vibration of pure benzene fell. Sinopec’s pure benzene increased three times in the first ten days of this month, rising to 10000 yuan / ton, and began to decline in the middle and late days, reaching 9600 yuan / ton at the end of the month (Hebei and Shandong to 9250 yuan / ton).

Downstream PA6 finished in shock in the first and middle of this month, and the decline was concentrated in the second half of this month, but in fact, the domestic market has been weak since the middle of this month. The operating rate of domestic PA6 polymerization plants was generally stable at 70% this month. The supply side of PA6 is relatively abundant, and the profits of production enterprises are under pressure. In terms of news, the tension between Russia and Ukraine remained, and the international crude oil price began to weaken due to the Fed’s interest rate hike, which immediately affected the sharp decline of pure benzene and caprolactam upstream of the industrial chain.

3、 Aftermarket forecast

Caprolactam analysts of business agency believe that the price of raw material pure benzene continues to fall, and the cost support is weak. The demand of downstream PA6 polymerization enterprises is poor, there are few transactions on the floor, and the spot supply of caprolactam is acceptable. Dominated by negative factors, the caprolactam market is expected to be weak in the short term.

According to the data monitored by the business community, as of June 30, the average price of domestic industrial grade premium cyclohexane was 9733.33 yuan / ton. The price rose narrowly in June, up 6.57% compared with the same period last month. The price rose slightly. At present, the quotation range of mainstream manufacturers is 9500-10000 yuan / ton. In the short term, it will maintain a stable medium to upper operation, the focus of negotiation is stable, the supply side is normal, and the downstream procurement atmosphere is general.

In the first ten days of May, the average price of domestic industrial grade superior cyclohexane was 9133.33 yuan / ton from June 4 to June 10, and the quotation range of mainstream manufacturers remained about 9200 yuan / ton. The overall market supply and demand of cyclohexane was balanced, and the downstream just needed to purchase. The focus of negotiation was stable, and the supply side was normal. The latest price of the enterprise: 9500 yuan / ton for Shanghai Likai Chemical Technology Co., Ltd., 9200 yuan / ton for Shandong Zhiying new materials Co., Ltd, Pande (Shanghai) International Trade Co., Ltd. 9200 yuan / ton, Jiangsu Leien Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. 9200 yuan / ton, Wuhan Jixin Yibang Biotechnology Co., Ltd. 9200 yuan / ton, upstream pure benzene: as of June 6, East China: Yangzi Petrochemical quoted 9500 yuan / ton; South China: the quotation of Hainan refining and chemical industry is 9500 yuan / ton; Central China: the quotation of Wuhan ethylene is 9500 yuan / ton, and that of Changling Refining and chemical is 9500 yuan / ton. The pure benzene market is mainly stable.

In mid May, the average price of domestic industrial grade superior cyclohexane was 9133.33 yuan / ton from June 13 to June 17, and the quotation range of mainstream manufacturers remained about 9200 yuan / ton. The overall market supply and demand of cyclohexane was balanced, and the downstream just needed procurement was the main. The focus of negotiation was stable, and the supply side was normal. The latest prices of enterprises: 9500 yuan / ton for Shanghai Likai Chemical Technology Co., Ltd., 9200 yuan / ton for Shandong Zhiying new materials Co., Ltd, Pande (Shanghai) International Trade Co., Ltd. 9200 yuan / ton, Jiangsu Leien Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. 9200 yuan / ton, Wuhan Jixin Yibang Biotechnology Co., Ltd. 9200 yuan / ton, upstream pure benzene: East China: Yangzi Petrochemical quotation 10000 yuan / ton; South China: Hainan refining and Chemical Co., Ltd. offers 10000 yuan / ton; Central China: Wuhan ethylene offers 10000 yuan / ton.

In late May, the average price of domestic industrial grade superior cyclohexane was 9733.33 yuan / ton from June 20 to June 27, and the quotation range of mainstream manufacturers remained about 9200 yuan / ton. The overall market supply and demand of cyclohexane was balanced, and the downstream just needed procurement was the main. The focus of negotiation was stable, and the supply side was normal. The latest price of the enterprise: Jinan Mingyu Chemical Co., Ltd. 8400 yuan / ton, Liaocheng yuanze chemical products Co., Ltd. 9800 yuan / ton, Zhejiang jinmaotong Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. is 9800 yuan / ton, Jinan Qichen Chemical Co., Ltd. is 9800 yuan / ton, and Zhejiang jinmaotong Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. is 9800 yuan / ton. Upstream pure benzene: as of June 24, pure benzene continued its decline and continued to decline. On June 17, the price of pure benzene was 9400-10000 yuan / ton (the average price was 9884 yuan / ton), and on Friday (June 24), the price of pure benzene was 9200-9800 yuan / ton (the average price was 9559 yuan / ton). The average price was 3.29% lower than last week and 20.84% higher than the same period last year.

Chemical industry index: on June 30, the chemical industry index was 1161 points, down 3 points from yesterday, down 17.07% from the highest point of 1400 points in the cycle (2021-10-23), and up 94.15% from the lowest point of 598 points on April 8, 2020. (Note: the period refers to 2011-12-01 to now).

According to the cyclohexane analyst of business agency, the cyclohexane market is expected to operate stably in July, with little price fluctuation. (if you want to get more commodity information and master commodity prices, you are welcome to subscribe to the commodities of the business club through the official account of the business club. The market is an opportunity).

According to the monitoring data of business agency, as of July 1, the average ex factory price of domestic industrial dimethyl carbonate was 5900 yuan / ton, which was 167 yuan / ton higher than the price on June 26, 2021 (the reference price was 5733 yuan / ton), or 2.91%.

It can be seen from the data monitoring chart of the business agency that this week (6.27-7.1), the domestic dimethyl carbonate market as a whole is running steadily upward. In this week, the domestic downstream demand for dimethyl carbonate has performed well, the purchasing enthusiasm of downstream factories has increased, and the demand side support has strengthened. Since the beginning of the week (June 27), the quoted price of dimethyl carbonate factories has been rising, with a single day increase of around 100 yuan / ton, and the center of gravity of dimethyl carbonate has moved steadily upward. As of the end of this week (July 1), the domestic ex factory price of dimethyl carbonate has been referred to around 5700-6200 yuan / ton, During the week, the cumulative increase was around 100-300 yuan / ton, and the weekly increase was 2.91%. At present, the trading atmosphere of dimethyl carbonate is acceptable, and the overall market is stable, medium and strong.

In terms of upstream propylene oxide, the propylene oxide market fell in June. In the first half of the month, the raw material propylene fell, the cost support was insufficient, the supply side was stable, the factory inventory was controllable, and the downstream reduction was followed up. The market was gradually under pressure, and the price stalemate of propylene oxide weakened. In the second half of the month, the price of raw propylene fell, factory shipments were flat, and some devices fluctuated, but the supply side was abundant, downstream demand was light, the reduction and price reduction followed up, and the purchase mentality was cautious, and the price of propylene oxide continued to decline.

Future trend analysis

At present, the trading atmosphere of dimethyl carbonate on the floor is good, and the inquiry atmosphere has been boosted compared with that in the early stage. The dimethyl carbonate analysts of business society believe that in the short term, the domestic dimethyl carbonate market is relatively strong, and consolidation is the main operation.

According to the monitoring data of the business community, the commodity index of polyaluminum chloride on June 30 was 120.54, unchanged from yesterday, down 15.49% from the highest point of 142.64 in the cycle (2021-11-01), and up 42.96% from the lowest point of 84.32 on August 18, 2020. (Note: the period refers to the period from April 1, 2019 to now)

As shown in the figure, the monitoring data of the business community showed that the domestic market of polyaluminum chloride was stable in June, supplemented by a small reduction in the middle of the month. The mainstream quotation of solid (industrial grade, content ≥ 28%) polyaluminum chloride was 2242.5 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, and was reduced to about 2230 yuan / ton on the 16th. The quotation remained stable until the end of the month, with a monthly decrease of 0.56%. This month, the manufacturer’s production is normal, the spot inventory is sufficient, the demand is general, and the transaction is not easy.

Industrial chain: in terms of upstream raw materials, hydrochloric acid: the monitoring data of business agency showed that the domestic hydrochloric acid market price fell slightly in June, from 320.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month to 282.50 yuan / ton at the end of the month, a decrease of 11.72%, an increase of 22.83% over the same period last year. Judging from the manufacturer’s quotation, the domestic hydrochloric acid market has ups and downs, and the downstream demand is general; From the perspective of the upstream and downstream industrial chain of hydrochloric acid, the upstream liquid chlorine market fell slightly, giving insufficient support to hydrochloric acid; The downstream market fell slightly, and the downstream products were generally enthusiastic about purchasing hydrochloric acid, which had a negative impact on the price of hydrochloric acid. It is predicted that the hydrochloric acid Market in the first ten days of July may fluctuate slightly.

Liquefied natural gas is used in the production process. According to the data monitoring of the business agency, the LNG market was in the off-season in June, and the demand support was weak. The domestic LNG price continued to decline, falling by 10.56% in the month, and the focus shifted downward. Among them, the decline of LNG in the first half of the month was 3.05%, and that in the second half of the month was 7.86%. Many liquid factories reduced prices and arranged warehouses, and liquid prices fell centrally. Near the end of the month, liquid prices in some regions rebounded slightly. It is expected that the domestic LNG price will be consolidated in the short term.

Future forecast: in the near future, the raw material cost remains weak, the downstream demand continues to be light, and the transaction is general. It is expected that the polyaluminum chloride Market in July will not change significantly, or will remain flat, with small fluctuations.

According to the monitoring of business agency, the price of domestic anhydrous hydrofluoric acid fell slightly in June. As of the end of the month, the market price of hydrofluoric acid was 11640 yuan / ton, down 0.26% compared with the price of 11670 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month, up 16.40% year-on-year.

In June, the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid declined slightly. As of the end of the month, the mainstream price negotiated by various regions of domestic hydrofluoric acid was 10900-11300 yuan / ton, and the quotation of some manufacturers was higher than the market price. The actual transaction price in the market fell this week. Recently, the domestic spot supply of hydrofluoric acid was normal, but the downstream acceptance was not high, and the market price of hydrofluoric acid fell slightly.

Recently, the domestic spot supply of hydrofluoric acid in the field is normal, the hydrofluoric acid unit in the field operates stably, and the manufacturer’s orders are poor. Up to now, the mainstream hydrofluoric acid negotiation in the south is 10800-11300 yuan / ton, and the hydrofluoric acid price in the northern market is 10800-11200 yuan / ton. In June, the domestic hydrofluoric acid market price fell, the downstream construction remained at a low level, the on-site transaction was acceptable, and the hydrofluoric acid market price fell slightly.

The market price of hydrofluoric acid raw material fluorite rose slightly. As of the end of the month, the domestic fluorite price was 2661.11 yuan / ton. In June, the fluorite price rose by 0.08%. Recently, the domestic spot supply of fluorite has been normal. However, the logistics in some regions has been restricted, and the spot on the floor is tight. The domestic fluorite price trend has risen slightly. Up to now, the mainstream of domestic fluorite negotiation is 2550-2650 yuan / ton. The price of fluorite in the venue has risen, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the venue has a limited decline due to t

he support of raw materials.

The price of downstream refrigerant products remains low, and the operating rate of the refrigerant industry in the field remains low. Recently, the sales of the automotive industry has declined month on month, and the refrigerant market has not changed much. In terms of demand, the refrigerant industry mainly purchases on demand, and the refrigerant industry market has declined slightly. In the refrigerant market as a whole, the market is mainly declining, and the price trend of chloroform is declining, which makes the cost of the refrigerant industry decline. At present, the price trend of refrigerant R22 has dropped slightly. The main manufacturers of refrigerants are still not operating well. The market supply is normal, but the demand is general. The demand in R22 market application field is poor, and the enterprise quotation has declined slightly. Up to now, the R22 market quotation is in the range of 16000-17000 yuan / ton. The price of R134a in China rose slightly while the price of trichloroethylene remained low with limited cost support. The market price of R134a rose slightly and the focus of trading was low. At present, the market price of R134a is in the range of 18000-22000 yuan / ton, the high price transaction is weak, the market sentiment is poor, the enterprise is eager to ship, the actual transaction is more profitable, and the downstream refrigerant market is depressed. As a result, the price of hydrofluoric acid is slightly lower.

From the perspective of the industrial chain chart, the fluorine chemical industry has a poor market, and the price of raw material fluorite has risen. However, the price trend of sulfuric acid raw material has dropped, and the price of downstream refrigerant products has remained low. In addition, the recent domestic supply of hydrofluoric acid is sufficient. Chen Ling, hydrofluoric acid analyst of business agency, believes that the market price trend of hydrofluoric acid may decline in the later period.

In June, the domestic MTBE market fluctuated at a high level, following the fluctuation of crude oil market. According to the data of business agency, the MTBE price at the beginning of the month was 8137 yuan / ton, and the MTBE market price at the end of the month was 8630 yuan / ton. The price increased by 6.05% in the month and 37.79% year-on-year.

Trend chart of average price of domestic MTBE producers in Shandong in June 2022:

According to the price monitoring of the business club, in the first half of 2022 (1.1-6.30), 136 commodities rose month on month in the list of bulk commodity prices, mainly in the chemical sector (64 in total) and the agricultural and sideline sector (16 in total), and the commodities with an increase of more than 5% were mainly in the chemical sector; The top 3 commodities with growth rate were butadiene (152.15%), lithium hydroxide (118.46%) and sulfur (89.80%). A total of 95 commodities fell month on month, mainly in the chemical industry (43 in total) and steel (15 in total), and commodities with a decline of more than 5% were mainly in the chemical industry sector; The commodities with the top three declines were electrolytic manganese (-57.47%), magnesium (-46.60%) and glycine (-45.71%). In this half year, the average increase and decrease was 6.53%.

At the beginning of this month, various refineries in Shandong concentrated in ports. The replenishment volume of local refineries was limited, and the demand rose again after the Dragon Boat Festival. However, most MTBE plants in the area still had no source of goods for export. The market supply was in short supply, and the merchants continued to explore the rise. Merchants’ reluctance to sell increased, coupled with the continuous rise of crude oil, and merchants actively followed the rise.

In the middle of May, the domestic MTBE market was still rising and the rise slowed down. The specific reasons were as follows: Although crude oil rose and fell, the current price was still high, which gave the market some psychological support; Gasoline prices continued to rise, with good overall demand; The main refineries in some regions were temporarily shut down, the spot supply in the region was significantly reduced, and the merchants’ willingness to push up was renewed.

In late June, the domestic MTBE market fell due to volatility. Specific reasons: crude oil entered the downward trend, which had a negative impact on the market; The overall demand for gasoline declined; Shenchi and luzhenfa have resumed operation one after another. The export resources of the market have increased, and the sales pressure of merchants has become prominent.

In terms of external trading, as of the closing on June 27, the closing price of Asian MTBE market increased by 45 dollars / ton compared with the previous trading day, and FOB Singapore closed at 1369.99-1371.99 dollars / ton. The closing price of European MTBE market increased by USD 14.50/t compared with the previous trading day, and FOB ara closed at USD 1920.49-1920.99/t. The closing price of MTBE market in the United States decreased by 14.83 dollars / ton compared with the previous trading day, and FOB Gulf FOB price closed at 1649.04-1649.39 dollars / ton (464.52-464.62 cents / gallon).

Region, country., Closing price, Up and down

Asia, FOB Singapore, 1369.99-1371.99 USD / T, USD 45 / ton

Europe, FOB ARA., 1920.49-1920.99 USD / ton, 14.5 USD / ton

U.S.A., FOB Bay, 1649.04-1649.39 USD / ton, – 14.83 USD / ton

In terms of enterprises, as of June 28, Shandong Chengtai new material MTBE offered 8700 yuan / ton. The 200000 t / a isomerization unit started normally. Shidashenghua’s MTBE quotation was increased by 150 yuan / ton to 8650 yuan / ton. The 200000 t / a isomerization unit started normally. The 400000 T / a mixed alkane dehydrogenation co production 350000 t MTBE unit of Shandong Shenchi Chemical Co., Ltd. started normally, and the MTBE quotation was increased by 150 yuan / T to 8700 yuan / T. The MTBE of Lihua Yijin Petrochemical has no goods for export, and there is no quotation for the time being. 125000 T / a isomerization MTBE unit operates normally. The 350000 T / a mixed alkane dehydrogenation unit of Dongming Qianhai chemical started normally, and the MTBE quotation was increased by 50 yuan / ton to 8600 yuan / ton.

Crude oil has entered a decline, which is bad for the market; The contradiction between supply and demand is becoming more and more obvious, and the sales pressure of businesses remains. MTBE analysts of business agency believe that the domestic MTBE market will fluctuate downward in the short term.

According to the monitoring data of the business agency, as of June 27, the average ex factory price of n-butanol in Shandong was 8100 yuan / ton, which was 1833 yuan / ton lower than that on June 1 (the reference price of n-butanol was 9933 yuan / ton), a decrease of 18.46%.

It can be seen from the data monitoring chart of the business agency that since June, the domestic n-butanol market in Shandong has been declining as a whole. In the first ten days of June, the domestic n-butanol market in Shandong was supported by the low inventory level, and the market rose briefly after the Dragon Boat Festival. On June 7, the ex factory price of n-butanol broke the 10000 yuan mark, with a reference of 10166 yuan / ton. Subsequently, the market fell back after a weak trend. In the middle stage, the overall market situation of n-butanol in Shandong was stable, and the market price range was not large. On June 19, the ex factory price of n-butanol was around 9800 yuan / ton. In the late stage, the n-butanol market experienced a wide decline, the downstream construction was generally started, and the demand support was insufficient. The market focus of n-butanol continued to decline, and the factory offer price continued to decline. As of June 27, the ex factory price of n-butanol was around 8000-8300 yuan / ton, and the average price was 8100 yuan / ton. The decline in the eight days was more than 17%, which was 18.46% lower than that at the beginning of the month. At present, after the n-butanol market fell to a low level, the market trading atmosphere has warmed up.

In terms of upstream propylene, recently (6.20-6.27), the domestic propylene market in Shandong Province has been running down as a whole. The mainstream propylene (Shandong) market quotation is 7750-7850 yuan / ton. The market supply pressure has increased, and the price has been under pressure downward. On the supply side, some new capacity is released, and the propylene market is relatively abundant. The shipping pressure of production enterprises increased, and the pressure of periodic shipping increased, resulting in the weak adjustment of propylene price. Cost: the raw material price is relatively high, and the support for propylene is acceptable. However, the demand is weak, the profitability of some downstream products is not high, and the commencement is limited, which restricts the demand for propylene, resulting in the weak decline of propylene price.

Aftermarket analysis of n-butanol

At present, the downstream n-butanol is replenished on bargain hunting, and the on-site transaction has improved. The n-butanol datagrapher of business agency believes that in the short term, the domestic n-butanol market in Shandong is mostly stable, and the consolidation and operation are the main. The specific trend needs to pay more attention to the changes in supply and demand.

1、 Price trend

According to commodity data monitoring, the price of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan and Guizhou fell this week. The average price of yellow phosphorus was 38520 yuan / ton last Friday and 38280 yuan / ton this Friday. The price was reduced by 0.62% during the week.

2、 Market analysis

The market price of yellow phosphorus fell this week. At present, the market price of yellow phosphorus is relatively complex, the market quotation is a bit chaotic, and the shipment situation is less than that of last week. Downstream and traders are more on the sidelines, take less goods, and are more cautious and purchase more at a lower price. Up to now, the mainstream quotation of Yunnan yellow phosphorus is about 37600 yuan / ton; The mainstream quotation of Guizhou yellow phosphorus is about 37500 yuan / ton; The mainstream quotation of Sichuan yellow phosphorus is about 39000-40000 yuan / ton.

As for phosphate rock, as of June 23, the market price of 30% grade phosphate rock in Guizhou was around 1030-1100 yuan / ton, with an increase of 100-150 yuan / ton in June, and the market price of 28% grade phosphate rock was around 920-950 yuan / ton. At present, a mining enterprise in Guizhou has resumed construction, and only a small amount of goods are sold externally, of which the market price of 30% grade phosphorus ore is reported as 1050 yuan / ton. The details are discussed separately. Some mining enterprises in Guangxi mainly receive orders in advance, and the orders are scheduled to the middle of July. Recently, phosphorus ore of Hebei mining enterprises is mainly supplied to shareholder customers, and there is no external supply source for the time being. At present, the downstream demand for phosphate rock is stable, and the supply and demand side of the site is well supported. According to the phosphorus ore data division of the business society, in the short term, the domestic phosphorus ore market will mainly operate at a high level.

In terms of phosphoric acid, the price of phosphoric acid fell slightly this week. The average price of phosphoric acid last Friday was 11220 yuan / ton, and this Friday was 11190 yuan / ton. The price decreased within the week by 0.27%. At present, the downstream is more wait-and-see, the demand is general, and the procurement is cautious. It is expected that the phosphoric acid market will be weak in the short term.

3、 Aftermarket forecast

The yellow phosphorus analyst of the chemical branch of the business agency believes that, on the whole, the yellow phosphorus will be lowered this week. The upstream phosphate rock price is relatively stable, the downstream phosphoric acid market price is declining, the phosphate Market is weak, and just demand is dominant. It is expected that the yellow phosphorus price will operate weakly and stably in the short term.

1、 Price trend

It can be seen from the above figure that the domestic market price of neopentyl glycol fell slightly this week. The average price of neopentyl glycol in the mainstream domestic market this week fell from 17500.00 yuan / ton at the end of last week to 16533.33 yuan / ton at the end of this week, a decrease of 5.52%. On June 16, the commodity index of neopentyl glycol was 79.68, unchanged from yesterday, down 23.10% from the highest point of 103.61 in the cycle (September 22, 2021), and up 24.00% from the lowest point of 64.26 on January 3, 2022. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2021 to now)

2、 Market analysis

The prices of main manufacturers of neopentyl glycol fell this week: the selling price of Jinan aochen Wanhua neopentyl glycol at the weekend was 16500 yuan / ton, which was 800 yuan / ton lower than that at the weekend; The selling price of Zibo de synthetic Feng neopentyl glycol at the weekend was 16600 yuan / ton, down 600 yuan / ton compared with that at the weekend. The delivery price of neopentyl glycol of Chongqing Kaiyin Jihua at the weekend was 16500 yuan / ton, which was 1500 yuan / ton lower than that at the weekend.

From the upstream raw material market of neopentyl glycol, the domestic isobutyraldehyde market price fell slightly this week. The average price of isobutyraldehyde in the mainstream domestic market this week fell from 15366.67 yuan / ton at the end of last week to 13933.33 yuan / ton at the end of this week, a decrease of 9.33%. The market price of upstream raw materials fell slightly, and the cost support weakened. Affected by the supply and demand side, it had a negative impact on the price of neopentyl glycol.

3、 Aftermarket forecast

In late June, the market trend of neopentyl glycol may fluctuate slightly. The upstream isobutyraldehyde market fell slightly, the cost support weakened, the downstream coating market was general, and the downstream purchasing enthusiasm was weak. The neopentyl glycol analyst of the business agency believes that the short-term neopentyl glycol market may suffer a small shock and decline under the influence of supply and demand, raw materials and other aspects.