Price Trend
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According to the price monitoring of business associations, as of April 24, the average price of domestic aggregated MDI market was 17775 yuan/ton, and the overall market situation was mainly on the horizon.
II. Market Analysis
Products: Domestic aggregate MDI market price slightly upward, low prices gradually disappeared. On-site trading atmosphere is still poor, the holder carefully negotiates delivery, downstream mentality “Buddhist system”, just need to replenish scarce, high-price trading is not easy. Businessmen are waiting for Wanhua’s listing price guidelines.
On the market side, South China aggregates MDI to wait and see. The factory has a strong market attitude, and the holder’s offer has been raised, but the demand downstream is weak and the volume of real orders is poor. Watch this week’s listing price guidelines for major manufacturers. Polymerized MDI interval arrangement in East China. The factory has a strong market attitude, and the holder’s offer has been raised, but the demand downstream is weak and the volume of real orders is poor. Watch this week’s listing price guidelines for major manufacturers. The aggregated MDI interval in North China is arranged on a wait-and-see basis. The attitude of the manufacturers is clear. In addition, in the second quarter, the maintenance is centralized, the supply of goods is scarce, and the market growth is basically determined. However, downstream demand follow-up has been weak, waiting for further digestion downstream. Watch manufacturers listed price guidelines.
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Industry chain: raw materials, pure benzene: East China pure benzene prices remain stable consolidation, buying and selling still have a large gap. Purchase price in April is 4440-4530 yuan/ton and sale price is 4500-4600 yuan/ton. May buy 4500-4550 yuan/ton, sell 4550-4650 yuan/ton. In June, we bought 4500-4550 yuan/ton and sold 4600-4680 yuan/ton. Aniline: Aniline market is stable. It is reported that the aniline plant in Jinling Dongying plant may be delayed to restart until the end of the month, and the supply side will support the price. But downstream just need to take goods, the demand is general. Shandong mainstream negotiation price reference 6120 yuan/ton acceptance. East China market reference 6300-6500 yuan/ton acceptance.
3. Future Market Forecast
Business Society Viewpoint: On the positive side, Cosco’s offer to the distribution market this week increased 300 yuan/ton to 18100 yuan/ton; Wanhua’s offer to the distribution market this week is temporarily not available; Ruian’s offer to the market this week has not been heard, the current enterprise equipment is still under repair; this week, Lianheng began to repair individual devices. On the negative side, the follow-up of real orders in the downstream of distribution is slow; foaming agent 141B rises sharply and the cost surface moves, which indirectly affects the demand of terminal for MDI; most downstream stockpiles are in the early stage, and the stock of raw materials needs further digestion. Businessmen are waiting for Wanhua’s listing price guidelines. Business Association aggregate MDI analysts expect that the short-term domestic aggregate MDI market will continue to be quiet and stable.
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